It feels like a statistical improbability that SDSU holds FAU to the 17% from deep that they have in the rest of their tournament games. The only team that held their opponent to a worse 3-point percentage for the season was Tennessee, a team FAU just beat and shot 30% from three against. For the tournament, San Diego State has held teams to 16-of-94 (17.0%) from 3-point range and 27% all season. I can’t find any metrics that give us stats on all-time Final Four teams in this metric, but I’d be willing to bet that is near the worst offensive efficiency rating for a Final Four team. But this is a team that ranks 75th in adjusted offensive efficiency. They’ve certainly gone cold for stretches, but they’re getting stops at the same time. I feel like I keep waiting for the Aztecs’ lack of offense to put them in a dry spell that they can’t defend their way out of. In the updated Ken Pom Efficiency Ratings, SDSU is ranked 14th and FAU is ranked 17th, meaning this is an extremely even matchup. This is shaping up to be an absolute battle. March Madness 2023 Final Four Odds and Schedule The Best March Madness Final Four Betting SitesĪccepts players from all US states. The Canes have since run through Indiana, Houston, and Texas to set up this matchup with UConn. And Miami has been on a wild run since trailing Drake late in the second half in their first-round game. UConn has looked like a machine since the tournament started winning all three games by double digits and three of four tournament games by an astonishing 24 points or more. Florida Atlantic has been one of the best all-around teams in the country as they lead the nation in wins with an absurd 35-3 record. San Diego State has displayed a lockdown, suffocating defense with timely offensive runs. Another way of looking at it is, technically not one top-10 made the Final Four. We’re left with four teams, none of which are seeded 1 through 3. We’ve seen a lot of basketball and all kinds of upsets, comebacks, buzzer-beaters, and exciting performances, and it’s all led to one of the most improbable Final Fours in recent memory.
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